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Post by Boricanator on Jul 1, 2024 11:07:02 GMT
Like I said, I have my reservations about Biden going forward. Besides, Lichtman hasn’t made an official prediction for 2024. Let’s see what happens. Come on. Fuck this Lichtman fellow. Do you honestly believe Joe Biden will beat Donald Trump in November? I don't as Old Joe has shown himself to be unfit for office. What say you? Time to bring back the smoke filled rooms and have Andy Beshear/Gretchen Whitmer/Josh Shapiro stomp Trump's ass and end his political career for good. Dems will vote Dem. Indys, moderates, and never Trumpers will vote for anyone fit to stop Trump. This isn't fucking rocket science. Come tf on. My honest answer is that I don’t know. Remember what country you are living in. This is a country that has literally elected dead people. One of them was a pimp. Anything is possible.
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Post by Boricanator on Jul 4, 2024 11:33:02 GMT
www.youtube.com/live/S-QT977_7JE?si=ZGaPlpfbg0lv_a7aLichtman is proposing an interesting Plan B. Biden would not only not seek re-election, but also resign the Presidency. Harris becomes President and Biden releases all of his delegates to Kamala. Then Democrats keep the incumbency and no contest keys. This could be a good solution.
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Post by mr_self on Jul 20, 2024 21:34:10 GMT
Boricanator Your boy Lichtman is duking it out with Nate Silver today!
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Post by jackspicer on Jul 20, 2024 21:57:52 GMT
Boricanator Your boy Lichtman is duking it out with Nate Silver today! 'Perceived physical ailments'? Allan Lichtman is extremely dishonest. Biden's brain is melting. That is not in the same category as FDR's legs or JFK's back.
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Post by Boricanator on Jul 21, 2024 9:53:46 GMT
Boricanator Your boy Lichtman is duking it out with Nate Silver today! [img class="smile" alt=" " src="http://storage.proboards.com/6870873/images/MgnCpfKiDHksqqucRoCu.gif"] Interesting! So people close to Biden are following Lichtman. In 2016, Nate gave Clinton a 70% chance of winning, while Lichtman outright predicted Trump winning. Nate shouldn’t get cocky.
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Post by jackspicer on Jul 21, 2024 18:59:17 GMT
Boricanator Your boy Lichtman is duking it out with Nate Silver today! Interesting! So people close to Biden are following Lichtman. In 2016, Nate gave Clinton a 70% chance of winning, while Lichtman outright predicted Trump winning. Nate shouldn’t get cocky. Lol. It seems Biden is dropping out, but intends to finish out his term. Your incumbency key will be lost.
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Post by Boricanator on Jul 21, 2024 19:14:04 GMT
Interesting! So people close to Biden are following Lichtman. In 2016, Nate gave Clinton a 70% chance of winning, while Lichtman outright predicted Trump winning. Nate shouldn’t get cocky. Lol. It seems Biden is dropping out, but intends to finish out his term. Your incumbency key will be lost. Yup, unfortunately. Hopefully we will avoid a contested convention.
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Post by mr_self on Jul 21, 2024 19:16:19 GMT
Good thing Lichtman didn't take Nate Silver up on his bet!
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Post by Boricanator on Jul 21, 2024 19:30:04 GMT
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Post by dk56 on Jul 21, 2024 19:41:01 GMT
I was looking at reddit politics yesterday for shitz and giggles...they were blasting this guy (and these are rabid libtards). Every election since Carter except 3 has been easy to pick (Reagan x 2, Bush 1, Clinton x 2, Bush, Obama x 2 - all easy)...he got 2/3 of the toss ups right and he claims to be nostradamus. He's a quack.
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Post by cts1 on Jul 22, 2024 20:37:27 GMT
Boricanator Your boy Lichtman is duking it out with Nate Silver today! [img class="smile" alt=" " src="http://storage.proboards.com/6870873/images/MgnCpfKiDHksqqucRoCu.gif"] Interesting! So people close to Biden are following Lichtman. In 2016, Nate gave Clinton a 70% chance of winning, while Lichtman outright predicted Trump winning. Nate shouldn’t get cocky. Nate gave DJT a higher chance than most pundits did, and just about all pollsters not named "Cahaly.".
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Post by politicidal1 on Jul 22, 2024 20:45:57 GMT
Lol. It seems Biden is dropping out, but intends to finish out his term. Your incumbency key will be lost. Yup, unfortunately. Hopefully we will avoid a contested convention. Disagree. Let them duke it out. Kamala is probably going to clinch the nomination but it’d appear less like a coronation if she had to beat the competition first.
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Post by Boricanator on Jul 22, 2024 20:47:02 GMT
Interesting! So people close to Biden are following Lichtman. In 2016, Nate gave Clinton a 70% chance of winning, while Lichtman outright predicted Trump winning. Nate shouldn’t get cocky. Nate gave DJT a higher chance than most pundits did, and just about all pollsters not named "Cahaly.". While that may be the case, Lichtman went all the way and predicted Trump would win. So, Lichtman has more credibility than Silver.
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Post by Boricanator on Jul 22, 2024 20:50:22 GMT
Yup, unfortunately. Hopefully we will avoid a contested convention. Disagree. Let them duke it out. Kamala is probably going to clinch the nomination but it’d appear less like a coronation if she had to beat the competition first. A contested convention would risk losing another key for Democrats. Fortunately, it seems there is near unanimous support for Harris. So, she should get the 2/3 support necessary for Democrats to win this key.
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Post by cts1 on Jul 22, 2024 20:55:42 GMT
Nate gave DJT a higher chance than most pundits did, and just about all pollsters not named "Cahaly.". While that may be the case, Lichtman went all the way and predicted Trump would win. So, Lichtman has more credibility than Silver. Based on a single data point? Two words: Robert Cahaly.
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