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Post by Boricanator on Jul 22, 2024 20:59:56 GMT
While that may be the case, Lichtman went all the way and predicted Trump would win. So, Lichtman has more credibility than Silver. Based on a single data point? Two words: Robert Cahaly. In the end, Silver just averages out polls and donor support. Lichtman is more comprehensive.
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Post by Boricanator on Jul 23, 2024 0:50:49 GMT
Disagree. Let them duke it out. Kamala is probably going to clinch the nomination but it’d appear less like a coronation if she had to beat the competition first. A contested convention would risk losing another key for Democrats. Fortunately, it seems there is near unanimous support for Harris. So, she should get the 2/3 support necessary for Democrats to win this key. Yes! She’s got it!
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Post by mr_self on Jul 23, 2024 1:01:17 GMT
A contested convention would risk losing another key for Democrats. Fortunately, it seems there is near unanimous support for Harris. So, she should get the 2/3 support necessary for Democrats to win this key. Yes! She’s got it! All the Democratic party needs her to do is not get blown out. Run a close race and allow Dems to take back the House and maybe keep the Senate. If she were to win? Cool. But if she loses a close race that keeps Dems in power in Congress? Cool too! Her close loss also gets her out of Dem politics for good. Win-win! There is a specific reason why Pelosi pushed Biden out and endorsed Kamala. Unadulterated pure Congressional power. And that's it. Nancy is not a woman to be trifled with.
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Post by Boricanator on Jul 23, 2024 1:03:12 GMT
All the Democratic party needs her to do is not get blown out. Run a close race and allow Dems to take back the House and maybe keep the Senate. If she were to win? Cool. But if she loses a close race that keeps Dems in power in Congress? Cool too! Her close loss also gets her out of Dem politics for good. Win-win! There is a specific reason why Pelosi pushed Biden out and endorsed Kamala. Unadulterated pure Congressional power. And that's it. Nancy is not a woman to be trifled with. She’s outpolling Biden already. So, let’s see what happens.
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Post by mr_self on Jul 23, 2024 1:18:51 GMT
All the Democratic party needs her to do is not get blown out. Run a close race and allow Dems to take back the House and maybe keep the Senate. If she were to win? Cool. But if she loses a close race that keeps Dems in power in Congress? Cool too! Her close loss also gets her out of Dem politics for good. Win-win! There is a specific reason why Pelosi pushed Biden out and endorsed Kamala. Unadulterated pure Congressional power. And that's it. Nancy is not a woman to be trifled with. She’s outpolling Biden already. So, let’s see what happens. I will give Kamala 50-50 odds. She ain't great, but she can complete a full sentence which is better than Old Joe. But she also comes across as a complete phony so she needs to run as a Boss Bitch and not your fun loving drunken aunty. bartlesby Pony tail and dark power suits. Can she do that? Time will tell. IMO.
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Post by Boricanator on Jul 23, 2024 1:19:58 GMT
She’s outpolling Biden already. So, let’s see what happens. I will give Kamala 50-50 odds. She ain't great, but she can complete a full sentence which is better than Old Joe. But she also comes across as a complete phony so she needs to run as a Boss Bitch and not your fun loving drunken aunty. bartlesby Pony tail and dark power suits. Can she do that? Time will tell. IMO. 50-50 is fair in this political climate.
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Post by mr_self on Jul 23, 2024 1:36:10 GMT
I will give Kamala 50-50 odds. She ain't great, but she can complete a full sentence which is better than Old Joe. But she also comes across as a complete phony so she needs to run as a Boss Bitch and not your fun loving drunken aunty. bartlesby Pony tail and dark power suits. Can she do that? Time will tell. IMO. 50-50 is fair in this political climate. How low we have fallen. Not a comment on you, just our politics. Trump is complete shit and 50-50 is the best we can do. Fuck that. So it goes.
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Post by Roxy on Jul 23, 2024 1:48:48 GMT
I knew you were lying at this point but what else is new? Nothing new, just me kicking your ass. You being a Republican obviously makes you stupid. That’s why you always have to lie. You can’t win with the truth like I do. Did ya kick his ass by being laughably incorrect for 11 pages???
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Post by Roxy on Jul 23, 2024 1:49:52 GMT
His streak is over. He is expressing faith in the DNC lacking any decency and continuing sadistic abuse of an old man, more so than faith that senile Biden can lead a nation. We will see in November if his streak really is over. No. We won’t.
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Post by bartlesby on Jul 23, 2024 4:15:17 GMT
She’s outpolling Biden already. So, let’s see what happens. I will give Kamala 50-50 odds. She ain't great, but she can complete a full sentence which is better than Old Joe. But she also comes across as a complete phony so she needs to run as a Boss Bitch and not your fun loving drunken aunty. bartlesby Pony tail and dark power suits. Can she do that? Time will tell. IMO. She can rock her hair back and it looks good. That said, I don't think she needs the Kamala 2.0 treatment after all. You've said she comes off as phony but after watching her recent appearance, I didn't get that vibe at all. She actually has some decent charisma and can swap between being serious and lighthearted without coming off as artificial. She doesn't ooze slime like your Gavin Newsomes or your Hillary Clintons and seems far more natural and likeable than I remember. I set a very low bar for her and she not only met it but she exceeded it greatly. Part of that could be the relief of a having presidential candidate who isn't mumbling and incoherent-- no offense to the Biden stans but much offense to the Trump stans-- but I think she can not only live up to expectations, at least optically, but surpass them. I'm very critical of the Democrats and how they deal with messaging but in this case, shocking as it is to me, I have no complaints. They're nailing it.
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Post by PaulsLaugh on Jul 23, 2024 4:16:53 GMT
A contested convention would risk losing another key for Democrats. Fortunately, it seems there is near unanimous support for Harris. So, she should get the 2/3 support necessary for Democrats to win this key. Yes! She’s got it! We need some positive pizazz for a change and not more infighting.
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Post by abbey1227 on Jul 23, 2024 4:31:19 GMT
There is a specific reason why Pelosi pushed Biden out and endorsed Kamala. Unadulterated pure Congressional power. And that's it. Nancy is not a woman to be trifled with.
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Post by Boricanator on Jul 23, 2024 8:30:10 GMT
Nothing new, just me kicking your ass. You being a Republican obviously makes you stupid. That’s why you always have to lie. You can’t win with the truth like I do. Did ya kick his ass by being laughably incorrect for 11 pages??? No, I haven’t. You haven’t being paying attention.
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Post by Boricanator on Jul 23, 2024 8:31:45 GMT
We will see in November if his streak really is over. No. We won’t. The keys still exists, lol. When he makes an official prediction, then we can talk about whether he’ll be right or not.
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Post by Boricanator on Jul 23, 2024 8:34:55 GMT
50-50 is fair in this political climate. How low we have fallen. Not a comment on you, just our politics. Trump is complete shit and 50-50 is the best we can do. Fuck that. So it goes. At the end of the day, it will be the fault of the voters if Trump wins. People love to blame Democrats, but if people vote for Trump it just shows their ignorance and lack of morals. Their is no logical reason to vote for Trump over Harris.
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