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Post by Power Ranger on Jun 9, 2023 15:47:09 GMT
I just put my money on India. I don’t think they’ll win, but it will give me something to be happy about if Australia drop the ball. If it wasn’t double figure odds - you got ripped off. Australia 69/2 - lead of 242. Nah. 6.00. I bet $5. |
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Post by weststigersbob on Jun 9, 2023 17:07:18 GMT
Australia 123/4 at Stumps on Day 3, a lead of 296.
Some absolutely shithouse batting by Australia. Warner never looked in, neither did Khawaja. Smith looked like he was batting in a different game, then played one of the worst shots in the circumstances I’ve ever seen to get out for 34. Head looked all at sea against the spin of Jadeja, and got out for 18 caught and bowled, although 12 of those runs were sixes that both should’ve been caught on the boundary.
Anyway, Marnus is 41*, but battered and bruised and having played one shot of authority in over 100 balls, Green 7* and looking nervy.
India in this up to their eyeballs….
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Post by hoskotafe3 on Jun 9, 2023 22:15:23 GMT
Australia still about 90/10 maybe 80/20. Even if the bat poorly tonight, they should go on and set India 400+ and I just don't see India getting within 100 of that.
So what's the 10% chance for India? That the morning session is a disaster for Australia. They lose all 6 in the first hour and then Gill whacks it around for an hour before lunch and they're already within 300 of the target with 10 wickets in hand. That's pretty thin, but not impossible.
Another in that 10% would be Australia batting for the first session, adding say 6-120 and then Gill and Rohit get them to 0-100 at tea and they finish 1 or 2 down for around 200. I'd still back Australia from there, but it would have shortened to around 65-35.
Personally I think Australia bat for about 3 hours, set India 470 or so. India finish the day 3 or 4 down for 150.
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Post by Power Ranger on Jun 10, 2023 13:18:05 GMT
Why did Australia declare? Indian could possibly chase 443. There is no reason to risk a loss. If it’s a draw, they become joint test champions.
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Post by Aj_June on Jun 10, 2023 14:03:55 GMT
Why did Australia declare? Indian could possibly chase 443. There is no reason to risk a loss. If it’s a draw, they become joint test champions. There is no way India could chase anything over 250 against this Aussie attack. Mostly Indian tailenders bail them out but 444 is beyond them. It might be 75 for 0 but 225 all out. |
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Post by weststigersbob on Jun 10, 2023 14:04:05 GMT
India 0/41 and looking good. Long way to go, but they couldn’t have started better.
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Post by weststigersbob on Jun 10, 2023 15:14:55 GMT
India 78/1 - cruising along comfortably. I reckon they’ll win this tomorrow.
As for the controversy around the catch - clearly a catch.
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Post by Power Ranger on Jun 10, 2023 16:10:21 GMT
India 78/1 - cruising along comfortably. I reckon they’ll win this tomorrow. As for the controversy around the catch - clearly a catch. 3-116 now. Bet365 has India at 9.00, Australia at 1.20 and draw at 8.00. I reckon a draw is the least likely scenario. |
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Post by weststigersbob on Jun 10, 2023 17:10:37 GMT
India 164/3 at stumps - still require 280 to win.
I think it’s 50/50 at the moment. Australia simply cannot build any pressure, and India is cruising along at 4 an over.
I really looked like 2 different pitches - the ones Cam Green was playing on, and the one India batted on.
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Post by hoskotafe3 on Jun 10, 2023 21:21:37 GMT
India 164/3 at stumps - still require 280 to win. I think it’s 50/50 at the moment. Australia simply cannot build any pressure, and India is cruising along at 4 an over. I really looked like 2 different pitches - the ones Cam Green was playing on, and the one India batted on. Settle down Bob! 280 is a lot of runs to get with no batting to speak of apart from Bharat and Jadeja. If Kholi and Rahane both scored hundreds that only gets them halfway there. I think Australia will win by about 120 runs. Not as convincing as it could have been, but clear winners...unless they shit the bed. |
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Post by Aj_June on Jun 10, 2023 21:29:34 GMT
India 164/3 at stumps - still require 280 to win. I think it’s 50/50 at the moment. Australia simply cannot build any pressure, and India is cruising along at 4 an over. I really looked like 2 different pitches - the ones Cam Green was playing on, and the one India batted on. Settle down Bob! 280 is a lot of runs to get with no batting to speak of apart from Bharat and Jadeja. If Kholi and Rahane both scored hundreds that only gets them halfway there. I think Australia will win by about 120 runs. Not as convincing as it could have been, but clear winners...unless they shit the bed. I believe when last inning chases are as high as 400+, almost there is no chance of winning for the team batting 4th. Usually in such high run chases, bowling side feels less urgency (as they have lots of runs) and consequently the chasing team makes about 300 or so runs. However, had India only needed 250 chase, they would still lose as then the day would have ended at 130/6 as Australia would have been more serious.
At this point of time, India lacks any good batsman in Test format. They need to look beyond Kohli, Pujara and Sharma (not that Sharma ever was a good test match player).
That said I do differ with your comment a month or so back that Australia will likely win against England. I think in England, it will be difficult for Australia to beat England. I am 50/50 on Ashes result.
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Post by Power Ranger on Jun 10, 2023 21:49:39 GMT
The Aussie quicks will come out firing in the morning.
Don’t expect Cameron Green to be one of them. Unfortunately he’ll probably be thinking about the furore over his catch. I doubt he’d sleep easy.
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Post by hoskotafe3 on Jun 10, 2023 23:13:58 GMT
Settle down Bob! 280 is a lot of runs to get with no batting to speak of apart from Bharat and Jadeja. If Kholi and Rahane both scored hundreds that only gets them halfway there. I think Australia will win by about 120 runs. Not as convincing as it could have been, but clear winners...unless they shit the bed. I believe when last inning chases are as high as 400+, almost there is no chance of winning for the team batting 4th. Usually in such high run chases, bowling side feels less urgency (as they have lots of runs) and consequently the chasing team makes about 300 or so runs. However, had India only needed 250 chase, they would still lose as then the day would have ended at 130/6 as Australia would have been more serious.
At this point of time, India lacks any good batsman in Test format. They need to look beyond Kohli, Pujara and Sharma (not that Sharma ever was a good test match player).
That said I do differ with your comment a month or so back that Australia will likely win against England. I think in England, it will be difficult for Australia to beat England. I am 50/50 on Ashes result.
Sharma's been excellent for India the last 2-3 years. Kohli I'm not sure what happened. He's looked imperious at the crease pretty much every innings and then something happens, usually fairly unlucky, and that's it. For a guy who's only managed a bit over 900 runs at 31 his last 20 or so tests he looks fantastic. On the Ashes,I did revise things and say that my head tells me 4-1,5-0 Australia, my eyes are telling me it could easily be 5-0, 4-1 England but I'm hoping for a tight 3-2 decided in the final test match. |
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Post by weststigersbob on Jun 11, 2023 9:09:48 GMT
India 164/3 at stumps - still require 280 to win. I think it’s 50/50 at the moment. Australia simply cannot build any pressure, and India is cruising along at 4 an over. I really looked like 2 different pitches - the ones Cam Green was playing on, and the one India batted on. Settle down Bob! 280 is a lot of runs to get with no batting to speak of apart from Bharat and Jadeja. If Kholi and Rahane both scored hundreds that only gets them halfway there. I think Australia will win by about 120 runs. Not as convincing as it could have been, but clear winners...unless they shit the bed. I just get this horrible feeling Australia are going to shit the bed. I hope I’m wrong, but the pitch has really flattened and our attack has looked pedestrian bar a session |
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Post by hoskotafe3 on Jun 11, 2023 10:04:42 GMT
Kohli wanders off and with him any vague hopes of an Indian miracle. 265 behind and now just a matter of how close they can get.
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